The "Drop" in Unemployment Rate is Illusory

December 2, 2011

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I know a drop in the unemployment rate should be good news–and maybe it even is–but what these numbers reflect is the pool of people looking for work has gotten shallower as more people get OUT of the pool.

From CNBC:

The rate fell from the previous month’s 9.0 percent, a move which in part reflected a drop in those looking for jobs. The participation rate dropped to 64 percent, from 64.2 percent in October, representing 315,000 fewer job-seekers.

The actual employment level increased by 278,000. The total amount of those without a job fell to 13.3 million.
The drop in participation rate is significant in that had the labor force remained steady, the jobless rate would have dropped to 8.8 percent, according to Citigroup calculations. If the labor force had followed trend growth, unemployment would be at 8.9 percent.


The President could help himself by bringing down the unemployment rate. He could do that by allowing drilling. The WSJ puts the number of jobs killed in that business at 200,000. Imagine what having 200,000 real jobs would do for an economy.

Tell ’em where you saw it. Http://www.victoriataft.com