Dr. Tim Ball on Latest AGW Claim: It’s Cold Because It’s Warm!

December 30, 2010

SHARE

http://www.oregonlive.com/opinion/index.ssf/2010/12/bundle_up_its_global_warming.html

The earth continues to get warmer, yet it’s feeling a lot colder outside. Over the past few weeks, subzero temperatures in Poland claimed 66 lives; snow arrived in Seattle well before the winter solstice, and fell heavily enough in Minneapolis to make the roof of the Metrodome collapse; and last week blizzards closed Europe’s busiest airports in London and Frankfurt for days, stranding holiday travelers. The snow and record cold have invaded the Eastern United States, with more bad weather predicted.

As global temperatures have warmed and as Arctic sea ice has melted over the past two and a half decades, more moisture has become available to fall as snow over the continents. So the snow cover across Siberia in the fall has steadily increased.

The sun’s energy reflects off the bright white snow and escapes back out to space. As a result, the temperature cools. When snow cover is more abundant in Siberia, it creates an unusually large dome of cold air next to the mountains, and this amplifies the standing waves in the atmosphere, just as a bigger rock in a stream increases the size of the waves of water flowing by.

The increased wave energy in the air spreads both horizontally, around the Northern Hemisphere, and vertically, up into the stratosphere and down toward the earth’s surface. In response, the jet stream, instead of flowing predominantly west to east as usual, meanders more north and south. In winter, this change in flow sends warm air north from the subtropical oceans into Alaska and Greenland, but it also pushes cold air south from the Arctic on the east side of the Rockies. Meanwhile, across Eurasia, cold air from Siberia spills south into East Asia and even southwestward into Europe.

It’s all a snow job by nature. The reality is, we’re freezing not in spite of climate change but because of it. 

 When scrambling to explain all the cold weather people only expose their ignorance of climate science. They also, fortunately, produce statements that, even those who don’t understand the science, see as illogical. Notice Dorling says “climate change” as he tries to suggest the current cold is just an anomaly in an overall warming trend. Others point to storms and flooding as further evidence of changes due to warming.

Andrew Revkin former New York Times reporter who quit after it was disclosed he was sharing information and basically being used by the people at the Climatic research unit from which the e-mails were leaked, is trying to rehabilitate himself and the NY TImes. He sent a group of us a copy of Cohen’s paper. Here was my response:

None of what Cohen presents is new. If he knew anything about climatology and the history of climate research he would know that existence of the Circumpolar Vortex and its pattern of Rossby waves has been in the literature since the Jet Stream was discovered in WWII and then the identification of the Waves by Carl Rossby in 1946. The concept of the Waves were linked with the concepts of Air Masses and their movement in determining patterns of weather in the Middle and High latitudes. Marcel Leroux claimed to have rediscovered these and named cold Polar outbreaks, formerly called continental Arctic (cA) or maritime Arctic (mA) air masses, as Mobile Polar Highs. What is not explained is the sinuosity in the Vortex and changing patterns over time that create differing weather patterns that drive these outbreaks of cold air south. There’s evidence that they are related to changes in the Sun that result in changes in the Solar Wind and its varying impact on the earth”s atmosphere. The science of all the current thinking is so wrong that they forget that it is the cold air that is in charge and dictates the patterns of middle latitude weather. 


What has happened in the interim was the formation of the IPCC and the diversion of virtually all climate research to proving the false theory that human CO2 was causing first warming, then climate change and now climate disruptions. Almost 40 years of potentially meaningful, rather than politically motivated research, has been lost. The New York Times was and is a major promoter of the false science and actively belittled those who dared to question. It was journalism at its absolute worst. Now the credibility of climate science is so discredited by that funding to catch up and explain will simply not be available. There are many people who have a lot of explaining to do. Of course, they will never be held accountable for the greatest deception, amplified by the mainstream media, and damage they have done.

To which Revkin replied:
Another assinine comment. The snow in Siberia is a result not a cause. 
What is going on here is they are scrambling to recover from the exposure of the climate fraud that they not only studiously avoided but actively promoted and attacked those who dared to question. They are also claiming the cooling is due to warming. It is the theatre of the absurd, although there is  value in that it has become so illogical that even those who don’t understand the science are convinced it’s a scam. 
I will be happy to come on and talk about it. I am available tomorrow.
Meanwhile it is briefly explained in this article;
Tim B